Texas State
W-L: ( 5- 8) PR = 71.4633Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Ea Michigan MIDA ( 4- 8, 67.1) 52-27 906 A UTSA AME ( 7- 5, 77.0) 36-43 913 A Arizona St B12 ( 8- 5, 80.6) 15-34 920 H Nicholls St 35- 3 1004 A Arkansas State SUN ( 7- 6, 69.9) 30-31 1011 H Troy SUN ( 8- 6, 71.6) 41-48 1018 A Marshall SUN ( 5- 7, 71.8) 37-40 1028 H J Madison SUN (12- 2, 84.2) 20-52 1108 A Louisiana SUN ( 7- 5, 69.5) 39-42 1115 A So Miss SUN ( 6- 7, 68.2) 41-14 1122 H La-Monroe SUN ( 3- 9, 63.5) 31-14 1129 H So Alabama SUN ( 4- 8, 67.5) 49-26 102 N Rice AME ( 6- 7, 68.8) 10-41
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
830 H Ea Michigan 52-27 25 10 ++ 4.40
906 A UTSA 36-43 -7 -11 + 3.80
913 A Arizona St 15-34 -19 -14 0.00
1004 A Arkansas State 30-31 -1 -4 + 2.71
1011 H Troy 41-48 -7 5 --- -12.13
1018 A Marshall 37-40 -3 -6 + 2.59
1028 H J Madison 20-52 -32 -7 --- -6.56
1108 A Louisiana 39-42 -3 -3 0.34
1115 A So Miss 41-14 27 -2 +++ 16.00
1122 H La-Monroe 31-14 17 13 0.75
1129 H So Alabama 49-26 23 9 ++ 4.75
102 N Rice 10-41 -31 3 --- -16.65
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1011 H Troy 41-48 -7 5 --- -12.13 1028 H J Madison 20-52 -32 -7 --- -6.56 102 N Rice 10-41 -31 3 --- -16.65 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1115 A So Miss 41-14 27 -2 +++ 16.00 830 H Ea Michigan 52-27 25 10 ++ 4.40 1129 H So Alabama 49-26 23 9 ++ 4.75 906 A UTSA 36-43 -7 -11 + 3.80 1004 A Arkansas State 30-31 -1 -4 + 2.71 1018 A Marshall 37-40 -3 -6 + 2.59 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Ea Michigan ( 4- 8, 67.1) 52-27 -32.78 18.44 -5.26 1.06 28.01
3 A UTSA ( 7- 5, 77.0) 36-43 -22.90 28.32 5.26 1.06 -9.37
3 A Arizona St ( 8- 5, 80.6) 15-34 -19.26 31.96 5.26 1.06 -7.44
3 A Arkansas State ( 7- 6, 69.9) 30-31 -29.99 21.23 5.26 1.06 -13.14
3 H Troy ( 8- 6, 71.6) 41-48 -28.31 22.91 -5.26 1.06 -17.83
3 A Marshall ( 5- 7, 71.8) 37-40 -28.11 23.11 5.26 1.06 -12.14
3 H J Madison (12- 2, 84.2) 20-52 -15.74 35.48 -5.26 1.06 -11.16
3 A Louisiana ( 7- 5, 69.5) 39-42 -30.35 20.87 5.26 1.06 -13.33
3 A So Miss ( 6- 7, 68.2) 41-14 -31.70 19.52 5.26 1.06 52.66
3 H La-Monroe ( 3- 9, 63.5) 31-14 -36.43 14.79 -5.26 1.06 20.26
3 H So Alabama ( 4- 8, 67.5) 49-26 -32.42 18.80 -5.26 1.06 28.76
3 N Rice ( 6- 7, 68.8) 10-41 -31.09 20.13 -0.00 1.06 -16.52
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28.78
|
winning pts = 129.6970 losing points = -100.9163
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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